Understanding IRR, Equity Multiples, and Real Return Drivers —
Using a Real-World Style Example From a 300-Unit NYC Deal

When evaluating private real estate offerings, experienced investors know that numbers alone don’t create great investments — context, assumptions, and execution do.

At Zenya Capital, we always emphasize one foundational principle:
It’s not the deal itself that generates returns, but the strategy, the timing, and the operator’s discipline.

This is the level of clarity, structure, and execution we bring to every offering. 
Before we begin, did you know you can invest WITH YOUR SELF-DIRECTED IRA OR 401K?

Please download my free PDF on How To Convert Your 401 (k) / IRA To Invest In Real Estate Without Penalty… by clicking here: https://zenyacapital.com/401k-ira-pdf/

Okay, let’s begin:
To illustrate how sophisticated investors should interpret IRR, equity multiple, and overall deal structure, let’s walk through a fictitious, NYC-based, institution-grade multifamily acquisition and break down exactly how value is created.

Case Study: The Astoria View Residences

300-Unit Class B+ Multifamily | Queens, New York

Acquisition Year: 2026
Disposition Year (Projected): 2033
Hold Period: 7 years
Property Type: Mid-rise, elevator multifamily with value-add upside
Market: Astoria, Queens — supply-constrained, high-demand rental corridor
Purchase Price: $148,000,000
Renovation Budget: $18,500,000
Total Project Cost: $166,500,000

Capital Stack

Senior Debt:

  • 62% LTC (Loan-to-Cost)

  • Loan Amount: $103,200,000

  • Fixed Interest: 5.35%

  • Interest-Only Period: 3 years

Equity:

  • Total Equity Raised: $63,300,000

  • LP Share: 85%

  • GP Share: 15%

Preferred Return to LPs: 7%

This capital structure balances debt efficiency with risk mitigation — a common approach for NYC value-add plays.

Value-Add Strategy (7-Year Plan)

Zenya Capital’s simulated plan for Astoria View:

Year 1–2: Renovations & Repositioning

  • Renovate 210 units (premium finishes)

  • Add co-working lounge + rooftop fitness deck

  • Upgrade elevators and mechanical systems

  • Rebrand the property and overhaul digital leasing strategy

Year 2–4: Revenue Optimization

  • Grow average rents by 18–22% on renovated units

  • Improve NOI by reducing energy waste and negotiating new service contracts

  • Reduce economic vacancy through automated leasing funnels

Year 5–7: Stabilization & Sale Prep

  • Stabilize at target NOI

  • Explore refinancing or listing for disposition depending on interest-rate environment

Projected Investor Returns

Cash Flow (Average Annual to LPs): 6.8%

Total LP IRR: 14.7%

Equity Multiple: 2.24x

Meaning:
For every $1.00 invested, the projected return is $2.24 over the 7-year lifecycle.

Where the Returns Come From

Here’s how value is created:

1. Net Operating Income (NOI) Growth

Pre-renovation NOI: $7.9M
Stabilized NOI (Year 5 onward): $12.4M

This 56% NOI lift is what drives valuation.

2. Sale Value (Year 7)

Using a conservative 5.00% exit cap rate:

Sale Price=NOICap Rate=12.4M0.05=248MSale\ Price = \frac{NOI}{Cap\ Rate} = \frac{12.4M}{0.05} = 248M

Projected sale price: $248,000,000

After loan payoff and transaction costs, LPs receive an estimated $118,000,000, producing the 2.24x multiple.

3. Example Investor Check Breakdown

If an investor puts in $250,000:

  • Annual cash flow: ~$17,000 average

  • Total preferred return over 7 years: $122,500

  • Final profit at sale: $438,500

Total Projected Return:

$250,000 → $561,000\ (net\ profit)

This level of return places the offering in the upper-middle performance band for institutional-quality New York multifamily.

How Experienced Investors Should Interpret These Returns

IRR (Internal Rate of Return)

IRR captures time-adjusted performance.
A 14.7% IRR over 7 years indicates:

  • Strong but not overly aggressive assumptions

  • Quality market fundamentals

  • Healthy cash flow + significant backend appreciation

For NYC, anything above 13% IRR in stabilized multifamily is considered strong.

Equity Multiple

A 2.24x EM means the investment more than doubled.

This metric tells you how profitable the deal is without factoring time.
It shows the actual wealth creation.

Risk Profile

This deal falls into the “Value-Add, Moderate Risk” category:

Risks:

  • Renovation execution

  • Interest rate environment

  • NYC regulatory complexity

Strengths:

  • Supply-constrained submarket

  • Deep rental demand

  • High upside on upgraded units

  • Strong exit liquidity in NYC

Experienced investors will recognize this as a balanced risk-adjusted play.

Why Deals Like Astoria View Appeal to Institutional and Ultra-Sophisticated Investors

  1. Hard assets in supply-constrained corridors rarely underperform

  2. Value-add gives forced appreciation, not just market appreciation

  3. NYC liquidity remains among the strongest in the world

  4. Long-term rental demand is exceptionally stable

  5. Professional operators de-risk execution through disciplined processes

Final Takeaway for Investors

Great returns are never an accident.
They come from:

✔ A defined thesis
✔ A disciplined operator
✔ Market constraints that amplify NOI growth
✔ A capital stack aligned with risk and reward
✔ Long-term, fundamentals-based strategy

The Astoria View case study illustrates exactly how a well-structured deal can produce attractive, risk-adjusted returns — even in competitive markets like New York City.

MATH EQUATIONS FOR EACH SECTION

Below are the formulas for:

  1. NOI Growth

  2. Valuation (Cap Rate Formula)

  3. Equity Multiple

  4. IRR (Formula + Intuition)

  5. Investor Profit Breakdown

  6. Cash-on-Cash Return

  7. Debt Service Coverage

  8. Loan Amount Calculation

  9. Value-Add Cost per Unit

  10. Exit Proceeds to LPs

NOI Growth Equation

Initial NOI → Stabilized NOI

NOI=IncomeOperating ExpensesNOI = Income – Operating\ Expenses

 

 

If original NOI = $7.9M

Stabilized NOI = $12.4M

NOI Growth %

NOI Growth%=12.4M7.9M7.9M×100NOI\ Growth\% = \frac{12.4M – 7.9M}{7.9M} \times 100

 

 

NOI Growth%=4.5M7.9M×100=56.9%NOI\ Growth\% = \frac{4.5M}{7.9M} \times 100 = 56.9\%

 

 

Valuation Formula (Cap Rate Method)

Value=NOICap RateValue = \frac{NOI}{Cap\ Rate}

 

 

Stabilized NOI = $12.4M
Exit cap rate = 5.00% (0.05)

Value=12.4M0.05=248MValue = \frac{12.4M}{0.05} = 248M

 

 

Equity Multiple

Equity Multiple=Total Cash ReturnedTotal Equity InvestedEquity\ Multiple = \frac{Total\ Cash\ Returned}{Total\ Equity\ Invested}

 

 

If LPs invested $63.3M
Total cash returned at exit = $141.7M (example)

Equity Multiple=141.7M63.3M=2.24xEquity\ Multiple = \frac{141.7M}{63.3M} = 2.24x

 

 

Interpretation:
Every $1.00 invested becomes $2.24.

IRR (Internal Rate of Return)

IRR is the discount rate that makes NPV = 0.

IRR Equation:

NPV=t=1nCFt(1+IRR)tInitial Investment=0NPV = \sum_{t=1}^{n} \frac{CF_t}{(1+IRR)^t} – Initial\ Investment = 0

 

 

Where:

  • CFtCF_t

     

     

    = cash flow in year t

  • n = number of years (7 in our case)

Example simplified inputs:

Year 1–7 average cash flow = $4.3M
Sale year LP proceeds = $118M
Initial LP investment = $63.3M

You plug these into the IRR formula or calculate via Excel:

=IRR({63.3M,4.3M,4.3M,4.3M,4.3M,4.3M,122.3M})=IRR(\{-63.3M, 4.3M, 4.3M, 4.3M, 4.3M, 4.3M, 122.3M\})

 

 

Result: 14.7% IRR

Investor Profit Breakdown

If an LP invests $250,000:

Total Return:

Total Return=250,000×2.24=560,000Total\ Return = 250,000 \times 2.24 = 560,000

 

 

Profit:

Profit=560,000250,000=310,000Profit = 560,000 – 250,000 = 310,000

 

 

Average Annual Cash Flow:

Assume 6.8% CoC on $250,000:

Annual Cash Flow=250,000×0.068=17,000Annual\ Cash\ Flow = 250,000 \times 0.068 = 17,000

 

 

Cash-on-Cash Return (CoC)

CoC=Annual Cash FlowEquity InvestedCoC = \frac{Annual\ Cash\ Flow}{Equity\ Invested}

 

 

CoC=17,000250,000=6.8%CoC = \frac{17,000}{250,000} = 6.8\%

 

 

Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

DSCR=NOIAnnual Debt ServiceDSCR = \frac{NOI}{Annual\ Debt\ Service}

 

 

If stabilized NOI = $12.4M
Annual debt service = $7.8M

DSCR=12.4M7.8M=1.59DSCR = \frac{12.4M}{7.8M} = 1.59

 

 

A DSCR above 1.25 is typically financeable.

Loan Amount Calculation

Loan-to-Cost = 62%

Loan Amount=Total Cost×LTCLoan\ Amount = Total\ Cost \times LTC

 

 

Loan Amount=166.5M×0.62=103.23MLoan\ Amount = 166.5M \times 0.62 = 103.23M

 

 

(rounded to $103.2M)

Value-Add Cost Per Unit

Renovation budget = $18.5M
Units renovated = 210

Cost Per Unit=18.5M210=88,095Cost\ Per\ Unit = \frac{18.5M}{210} = 88,095

 

 

LP Exit Proceeds Calculation

Step 1 — Gross Sale Price:

248M248M

 

 

Step 2 — Subtract Closing Costs

Assume 1.5% costs = $3.72M

Net=248M3.72M=244.28MNet = 248M – 3.72M = 244.28M

 

 

Step 3 — Subtract Remaining Loan Balance

Loan payoff = $103.2M

Net Proceeds=244.28M103.2M=141.08MNet\ Proceeds = 244.28M – 103.2M = 141.08M

 

 

Step 4 — Allocate to LPs (85% share):

LP Proceeds=141.08M×0.85=119.9MLP\ Proceeds = 141.08M \times 0.85 = 119.9M

 

 

Rounded in case study to $118M for conservatism.
The end

At Zenya Capital, this is the level of clarity, structure, and execution we bring to every offering.

And did you know you can invest WITH YOUR SELF-DIRECTED IRA OR 401K? Please download my free PDF on How To Convert Your 401 (k) / IRA To Invest In Real Estate Without Penalty… by clicking here: https://zenyacapital.com/401k-ira-pdf/ 

Peace, Bobby Zapp of Zenya Capital 

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee or indicate future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. While the data we use from third parties is believed to be reliable, we cannot ensure the accuracy or completeness of data provided by investors or other third parties.

Neither Zenya Capital Investments nor any of its affiliates provide tax advice and do not represent in any manner that the outcomes described herein will result in any particular tax consequence. Offers to sell, or solicitations of offers to buy, any security can only be made through official offering documents that contain important information about investment objectives, risks, fees and expenses. Prospective investors should consult with a tax or legal adviser before making any investment decision.

Different rules apply to accredited investors and non-natural persons. Before making any representation that your investment does  not exceed applicable thresholds, we encourage you to review Rule 251(d)(2)(i)(C) of Regulation A. For general information on investing, we encourage you to refer to www.investor.gov.